October and November
Go nowThe best window, minus its first week
Dry, clear, mild and the nicest the city gets, and it is also hairy crab season, which is the one genuinely seasonal thing on the menu. The catch is the start: the national holiday from 1 October fills trains, sights and hotels for about a week, at fixed dates you can simply plan after. From the second week onward, this is the month to pick.
April and May
Go nowWarm, green and before the rains
The other good window: plane trees in leaf in the old concession, comfortable walking weather, and the summer humidity not yet arrived. A national holiday around the start of May moves domestic crowds for a few days but is far shorter than the October one. Rain is possible and passing rather than settled.
March
Worth it, butCool and grey, but the city is yours
Winter is letting go and the crowds have not returned. Days are cool and often overcast, and the trees are bare, so the French Concession is at its least attractive. Prices are low and queues are short, which for a city this size is worth a jacket.
September
Worth it, butThe heat breaking, the storms not quite done
Noticeably better than August and improving week by week, with the crab season starting at the end of it. The typhoon season is not over until late in the month, so a washed-out day or a disrupted flight is a real possibility. Late September is close to October quality without the holiday.
June
Worth it, butThe plum rains, which are a season of their own
East China has a distinct early-summer rainy period — the plum rains — that settles in around mid-June and lasts into July: persistent grey drizzle rather than storms, with high humidity throughout. It is not a washout and it is cheaper than the months either side, but plan indoor alternatives and expect laundry not to dry.
December
Worth it, butCold, clear and the last of the crab
Drier and brighter than the deep winter months, with the crab season tailing off. The heating problem is already in play, so this is a coat-indoors month. Quiet, cheap by local standards, and fine for museums and eating.
July and August
Think twiceHot, humid and the typhoon window
The hardest months by a distance: heat plus humidity that makes walking the concession streets unpleasant, and this is when typhoons reach the coast, which can mean a lost day or a cancelled flight rather than just rain. It is also Chinese school holidays, so domestic tourism peaks. Cheap flights, and a reason for them.
January and February
Think twiceDamp cold, and Chinese New Year moves through it
Cold, grey and damp, and Shanghai sits south of the line where China built centralised heating, so older buildings indoors are cold too. Chinese New Year falls between late January and mid-February and moves every year: transport is at its annual peak and many small businesses close for several days. Check the date before you book anything.